Beyond Obvious

Illustrative scenario · Component manufacturer · People and machines

Overtime keeps rising. Are we short of people?

About ₹31 lakh a year of overtime is a maintenance problemIllustrative

Not a client. A worked example of the method, with stated assumptions and public benchmarks. No result is claimed.

The business

A family-run maker of machined parts. About ₹120 crore a year, two plants, around 400 workers on two shifts. Payroll and attendance run on a biometric system and Excel; maintenance is kept in machine logbooks; production in daily reports.

The owner's question

“Overtime keeps rising. Are we short of people?”

What's already in the records

  • Attendance and overtime from the biometric system
  • Payroll
  • Machine logbooks with breakdowns and repairs
  • Spare-parts purchases in Tally
  • Daily production reports
  • The rejection register

What I'd join

  1. Overtime hours by line and week, against breakdowns logged on that line. This shows whether overtime follows the machines rather than the order book.
  2. Breakdowns by machine and cause, against spare-parts purchases and repair bills. This shows which machines fail repeatedly, and what they cost.
  3. Attendance by shift and month, against output. This shows absence patterns, for example around festivals and harvests, that planning could absorb.
  4. Who runs which changeovers and repairs. This shows one person everything depends on.

What it could show, worked through

The cost of overtime. At an assumed average wage of ₹20,000 a month, 400 workers each doing 10 hours of overtime a month at twice the ordinary rate costs about ₹92 lakh a year. If a third of it follows breakdowns, about ₹31 lakh a year is a maintenance problem, not a people problem.

about ₹31 lakh a year is a maintenance problem

What recording alone can do. In a randomised study of Indian textile mills, recording breakdown reasons, defects and stock daily, and reviewing them, cut defects by 43%, cut inventory by 22% and raised productivity by about 17% (Bloom and others, 2013). That was one rigorous study with intensive support: possible, not typical.

defects down 43%, in one study

Why it isn't obvious

HR sees overtime, maintenance sees breakdowns, and accounts sees spares. The connection exists only when the three are joined.

The decisions it opens

  • Planned maintenance on the machines that fail most.
  • Hire or train a second person for the critical changeovers.
  • Plan staffing around the absence calendar, not against it.

What you'd get

  • Diagnostic: overtime explained by cause, and machines ranked by failure cost.
  • Sprint: a maintenance plan built from your own logbooks.
  • Build and hand over: a weekly plant report combining attendance, breakdowns and output.
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Sources

  • Bloom, Eifert, Mahajan, McKenzie and Roberts, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2013.